Blog Entry


Posted on: October 4, 2009 12:19 pm
Zack Grienke recently wrapped up his 2009 season.  He finished the year with a 16-8 record, and a 2.16 ERA, as well as coming within 2 strikeouts of Dennis Leonard's single season Royals record.

And he has one more statistic that many Cy Young voters will probably overlook.  That's because I just made it up.  :-)

It's called "Perecentage of Team Wins," or TW%.

It's a very simple statistic: How utterly on his own is a pitcher?  The higher the perecentage, the less help he had, and the harder it is for him to generate wins.  To determine the TW%, divide the number of wins by his team (in Zack's case, 65) by his wins (16).

Thusly, the top Cy Young contenders (Felix Hernandez, C.C. Sabathia, Justin Verlander and Zack) have TW% (rounded to two decimal places) as follows:

C.C. Sabathia: 5.53
Justin Verlander: 4.72
Felix Hernandez: 4.67
Zack Grienke: 4.06

What this basically tells us is: Either Grienke has been Cooperstown-esque for a good team, or Cy Young-esque for a poor team.  And the Royals are a very poor team.  Which, rather than hinder his Cy Young candidacy, should help it.  To do even what he did, for such a horribly incompetent organization, is remarkable. 

That's why I believe that Zack Grienke should win the 2009 American League Cy Young Award, as the best pitcher in baseball.
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